466 AXNT20 KNHC 260516 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 116 AM EDT Thu Mar 26 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0500 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Liberia near 06N10W, to 04N14W. The ITCZ continues from 04N14W to 02N30W, to the Equator along 35W/36W, to 01N45W. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is within 180 nm to the north of the ITCZ between 16W and 35W. Isolated moderate to locally strong is elsewhere from 10N southward from 60W eastward. GULF OF MEXICO... Broad surface anticyclonic wind flow spans the Gulf of Mexico. A 1015 mb high pressure center is near 24N85W. Broad upper level anticyclonic wind flow covers the Gulf of Mexico. The GFS model for 250 mb and satellite imagery show an upper level cyclonic circulation center in the SW corner of the Gulf of Mexico. Fair skies, and some visibilities generally ranging from 4 miles to 6 miles are being reported at some of the offshore oil platforms that are in the north central and northwestern sections of the Gulf of Mexico. High pressure will prevail through early Thursday. A weak frontal trough will sink S into the NE Gulf coastal waters on Thursday morning, before dissipating on Thursday night. High pressure will build across the NE Gulf of Mexico from Friday through Saturday. A cold front will move into the western Gulf of Mexico on Saturday night. Expect a modest increase in the wind speeds and the sea heights behind the front. The front will stall and dissipate in the northern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday. CARIBBEAN SEA... An upper level trough cuts across Hispaniola, toward central sections of Nicaragua. A surface trough is along 62W/63W from 20N southward to the coast of Venezuela. Precipitation: Rainshowers are possible from 13N northward, in broken low level clouds. 24-hour rainfall totals that are listed for the period that ended at 26/0000 UTC, according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES, MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC, are: 0.05 in Curacao. High pressure across the W Atlantic Ocean will maintain fresh to strong trade winds in the south central Caribbean Sea. Minimal gale-force winds are possible on Friday night, on Saturday night, and on Sunday night. Fresh to locally strong winds will pulse each night in the Gulf of Honduras. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front passes through 32N73W to 31N76W, and to the coast of SE Georgia near 31N81W. A stationary front continues from the coast inland, beyond SW Georgia. Precipitation: isolated to widely scattered moderate from 30N northward between 66W and 73W. Rainshowers are possible elsewhere from 30N northward from Bermuda westward. 24-hour rainfall totals that are listed for the period that ended at 26/0000 UTC, according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES, MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC, are: 0.17 in Bermuda. A stationary front passes through 32N25W, to 31N28W. A dissipating stationary front continues in the central Atlantic Ocean, from 31N28W to 28N36W and to 30N42W. Precipitation: rainshowers are possible from 24N northward between 30W and 44W. Broad upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the Atlantic Ocean from 15N northward from 40W eastward. An upper level cyclonic circulation center is near 26N28W. Precipitation: isolated moderate from 25N northward from 30W eastward. Weak high pressure ridge along 25N will prevail tonight. A cold front will move SE across the waters that are to the north of 22N, from late tonight through Friday night. Associated northerly swell will propagate across the northern waters from Thursday night through Friday night. High pressure will build across the northern waters in the wake of the front late on Friday, and prevail through Sunday. A cold front will move into the northern waters on Monday.