Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion
691 AXNT20 KNHC 130830 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 UTC Fri Nov 13 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0830 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... North-Central Atlantic Gale Warning: a strong cold front is moving off the northeast Florida coast this morning accompanied by fresh to strong winds on either side of it. The front is expected to reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning, and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern Cuba by Sun morning. Ahead of the front, SW winds will reach gale- force over the waters north of about 29N late tonight into Sat. Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from 13N16W to 07N20W. The ITCZ extends from 07N20W to 04N30W to 04N50W. Scattered moderate convection is active from 04N to 07N between 20W and 50W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A cold front extending from central Florida to northern Mexico. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas are north of the front. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas are off Veracruz in the far southwest Gulf. Light to gentle winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere. For the forecast, the front will rapidly shift across the rest of the basin move SE of the area today. Fresh to locally strong northwest to north winds will prevail near Tampico and Veracruz through early today. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh north winds are expected in the wake of the cold front. High pressure will build southward into the region this weekend, with fresh to strong easterly winds across portions of the northern and central Gulf. Another cold front is expected to push off the Texas coast Mon morning, and quickly move across the basin through Tue night. Fresh to strong winds will follow the front across much of the basin. Winds to near gale- force are possible in the far NE Gulf early next week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Fresh to strong winds, and moderate seas, prevail over the waters east of 75W. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate seas, are noted elsewhere. A surface trough extends from western Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is within 240 nm east of the trough, also impacting portions of central Cuba. For the forecast, fresh to strong trades over the central and eastern Caribbean will diminish by Sat. A cold front will enter the NW waters today. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds are likely behind this front over the northwestern Caribbean Sat through Sun. Trade winds may strengthen again over the south central Caribbean early next week. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front from 31N79W to 29N81W is accompanied by fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas on either side of the front, generally west of 60W. A surface trough extends from the NW Bahamas to western Cuba. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is ahead of the trough, generally S of 29N east of the front to 66W. Farther east, high pressure generally prevails, anchored by a 1024 mb high centered near 32N39W. Light to gentle winds cover the waters north of 26N between 35W and 48W. Fresh winds are found over the waters south of 15N between 35W and 60W. Gentle to moderate winds cover the remainder of the discussion waters. Seas are mainly moderate across the discussion waters, except reaching locally rough west of the cold front. For the forecast west of 55W, the front is expected to reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning, and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern Cuba by Sun morning. The cold front portion will shift east of 55W late Sun night while the stationary portion weakens. Ahead of the front, SW winds will reach gale- force over the waters north of about 29N late tonight into Sat. Winds will briefly diminish below fresh speeds over the forecast waters on Sun. A building Bermuda High will tighten the pressure gradient and support fresh to strong northeast winds south of 27N west of 65W Mon and Mon night. The fresh to strong winds will expand northward in coverage Tue and Tue night.