Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

371
WTPZ32 KNHC 262034
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number  22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
200 PM MST Mon Oct 26 2026
 
...VANCE JOGS WESTWARD AND MAINTAINS INTENSITY FOR NOW...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 106.1W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern and west-central coasts of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was
located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 106.1 West. Vance is
moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn to the northwest 
is expected on Tuesday, followed by a northward turn on Wednesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4
inches of rain, with isolated higher totals of 7 inches possible,
across southern Sinaloa, southwest Durango and coastal sections of
Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima and Michoacan.  This rainfall may produce
flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast of
southern, southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.