Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

374
WTPZ22 KNHC 261433
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222026
1500 UTC MON OCT 26 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 105.7W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....165NE  90SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 105.7W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 105.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.7N 106.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.4N 107.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.6N 108.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.2N 108.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.7N 108.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.0N 108.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 24.1N 108.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 105.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z