Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

298
WTPZ32 KNHC 260836
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number  20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
300 AM CST Mon Oct 26 2026
 
...VANCE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND LIKELY TO WEAKEN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 105.1W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was 
located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 105.1 West.  Vance is 
moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h).  A 
west-northwestward motion is expected over the next day or so, 
followed by a turn toward the north around midweek. 
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast for the next several days.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4 
inches of rain, with isolated higher totals of 7 inches possible, 
across Sinaloa and the western portions of Nayarit, Jalisco and 
Durango.  Rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is possible across coastal 
areas of Michoacán into Colima.  This rainfall may produce flooding 
and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance, 
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic 
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico during the next several days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST.