Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

657
WTPZ32 KNHC 260236
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
900 PM CST Sun Oct 25 2026
 
...VANCE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE
NORTHWEST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 104.7W
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was 
located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 104.7 West. Vance is 
moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A 
west-northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected over 
the next couple of days, followed by a turn toward the north around 
midweek.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast for the next 
several days. 

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4
inches of rain, with isolated higher totals of 7 inches possible,
across Colima, Nayarit, and Sinaloa, along with western portions of
Michoacán, Jalisco, and Durango. This rainfall may produce flooding
and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico during the next several days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST.