Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

649
WTPZ32 KNHC 252035
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
300 PM CST Sun Oct 25 2026
 
...TROPICAL STORM VANCE CHURNING OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 104.2W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 285 MI...455 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was 
located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 104.2 West. Vance is 
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A 
northwestward to west-northwestward motion at a slower forward speed 
is expected over the next couple of days, followed by a turn toward 
the north around midweek. 
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast over the next 
several days.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4 
inches of rain, with isolated higher totals of 7 inches possible, 
across Colima, Nayarit, and Sinaloa, along with western portions of 
Michoacán, Jalisco, and Durango. This rainfall may produce flooding 
and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance, 
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic 
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico during the next several days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST.