Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

640
WTPZ22 KNHC 252034
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222026
2100 UTC SUN OCT 25 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 104.2W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 104.2W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 104.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.0N 104.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.4N 105.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.0N 106.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.9N 106.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.7N 107.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.0N 107.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 21.0N 107.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 23.3N 107.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 104.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z