Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
291 WTPZ32 KNHC 250244 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Vance Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP222026 900 PM CST Sat Oct 24 2026 ...VANCE HOLDS STEADY WHILE DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.7N 103.4W ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Vance. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Vance was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 103.4 West. Vance is moving slowly toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Fluctuations in strength are likely through Monday, followed by steady weakening after that. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through next Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 4 to 6 inches with isolated higher totals around 10 inches across Colima and western portions of Michoacán and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf. SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico into next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST.