Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
954 WTPZ32 KNHC 242039 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Vance Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP222026 300 PM CST Sat Oct 24 2026 ...VANCE WEAKENS SOME MORE AS IT CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.3N 103.3W ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Vance. A Tropical Storm Watch may be required for portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico tonight or on Sunday. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Vance was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 103.3 West. Vance is moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a slow motion toward the north-northwest is expected to continue through Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected through Sunday night. Some re-intensification is possible on Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through next Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 4 to 6 inches with isolated higher totals around 10 inches across Colima and western portions of Michoacán and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf. SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico this weekend and continue into next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST.