Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

195
WTPZ32 KNHC 241453
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Vance Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
900 AM CST Sat Oct 24 2026
 
...VANCE WEAKENS A LITTLE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 103.0W
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the 
progress of Vance. A Tropical Storm Watch may be required for 
portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico later today or tonight.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Vance was located 
near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 103.0 West. Vance is moving 
toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a slow motion 
toward the north-northwest is expected to continue through the 
weekend.
 
Maximum sustained winds are now near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Gradual weakening is expected through Sunday. Some 
re-intensification will be possible beginning Sunday night or 
Monday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through next Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 3 to 6 
inches with isolated higher totals around 10 inches across Colima 
and western portions of Michoacán and Jalisco. This rainfall may 
produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas 
along steep terrain.

SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast
of southern and southwestern Mexico this weekend and continue into
next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.