Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

657
WTPZ22 KNHC 240837
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222026
0900 UTC SAT OCT 24 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 102.8W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 102.8W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 102.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 13.1N 103.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.3N 103.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.2N 103.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.9N 104.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.2N 104.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  65SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.6N 104.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 17.5N 104.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 18.5N 104.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 102.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z