Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
603 WTPZ32 KNHC 232038 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Vance Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP222026 300 PM CST Fri Oct 23 2026 ...VANCE STRENGTHENING QUICKLY AND COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.2N 102.3W ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 555 MI...895 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Vance. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Vance was located near latitude 11.2 North, longitude 102.3 West. Vance is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow motion toward the north-northwest or northwest is expected to continue through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is expected through tonight, and Vance is forecast to become a major hurricane. After that, slow weakening is forecast to start on Saturday night and continue through Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Vance are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico this weekend and continue into next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST.