Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

597
WTPZ22 KNHC 232038
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222026
2100 UTC FRI OCT 23 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 102.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 180SE  80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 102.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 102.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 11.9N 102.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 190SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 12.9N 103.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 190SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 13.9N 103.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.9N 103.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.7N 103.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.1N 104.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  80SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N 104.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 17.8N 104.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 102.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z