Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

239
WTPZ22 KNHC 231441
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222026
1500 UTC FRI OCT 23 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 102.1W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 180SE  50SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....200NE 180SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 102.1W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 102.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 11.3N 102.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 190SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 12.3N 102.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 190SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 13.3N 103.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.4N 103.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.3N 103.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.9N 104.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  80SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 16.6N 104.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 104.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 102.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z