Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

039
WTPZ32 KNHC 230238
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
900 PM CST Thu Oct 22 2026
 
...VANCE STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD...
...RAPID INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.5N 101.9W
ABOUT 460 MI...745 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was 
located near latitude 10.5 North, longitude 101.9 West. Vance is 
moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A gradual turn 
toward the north-northwest is expected over the next day or so. 
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast during the next 
24 h, and Vance is forecast to become a major hurricane by early 
Saturday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Vance are expected to begin affecting
portions of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico this
weekend and continue into next week. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST.