Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

314
WTPZ32 KNHC 222036
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
300 PM CST Thu Oct 22 2026
 
...VANCE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...10.0N 101.5W
ABOUT 490 MI...785 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was
located near latitude 10.0 North, longitude 101.5 West.  Vance is
moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h) and a slow 
northwestward to north-northwestward motion is expected over the 
next few days. 

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) 
with higher gusts.   Vance is forecast to become a hurricane 
tonight, and it could become a major hurricane by the weekend.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Vance are expected to begin affecting
portions of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico this
weekend and continue into next week. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST.