Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

312
WTPZ32 KNHC 221446
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
900 AM CST Thu Oct 22 2026
 
...VANCE GETTING STRONGER WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...9.7N 101.0W
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was 
re-positioned to near latitude 9.7 North, longitude 101.0 
West. Vance is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h), and 
a slow northwest to north-northwest motion is expected for the next 
few days.  
 
Satellite imagery indicate that the maximum sustained winds have 
increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.  Vance is 
forecast to become a hurricane tonight and could become a major 
hurricane by the weekend.  
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Vance are expected to begin affecting
portions of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico this
weekend and continue into next week. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.