Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

467
WTPZ22 KNHC 211436
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222026
1500 UTC WED OCT 21 2026
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N  99.3W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N  99.3W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.5N  99.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z  9.4N 100.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z  9.7N 101.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 10.2N 102.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 10.7N 102.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 11.5N 103.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 12.5N 103.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 14.2N 104.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 15.4N 105.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.5N  99.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z