Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

036
ABNT20 KNHC 192348
TWOAT 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Off the East Coast of the United States (AL93):
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is currently attached 
to an occluded frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the 
southeast coast of the United States. This low is likely to move 
slowly north-northeastward over the next couple of days. If the low 
remains over the Gulf Stream, it could develop organized shower and 
thunderstorm activity. If the low is also then able to separate 
from frontal features, it could briefly acquire subtropical cyclone 
characteristics during the middle to latter portion of this week. 
The system is expected to move northeastward away from the the 
eastern United States later this week, and environmental conditions 
are expected to become unfavorable for subtropical or tropical 
development by the weekend. 
Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal 
flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S. 
East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please 
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service 
offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with High Seas 
Forecasts and Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
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High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php