Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

203
WTPZ21 KNHC 181432
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026
1500 UTC SUN OCT 18 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 106.8W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 106.8W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 106.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.7N 107.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.1N 107.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.3N 108.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.6N 109.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.2N 109.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.7N 110.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 106.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 18/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z