Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

681
WTPZ21 KNHC 180242
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026
0300 UTC SUN OCT 18 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 105.7W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 105.7W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 105.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.2N 106.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.1N 107.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.6N 107.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.9N 108.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.1N 108.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.5N 109.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 105.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 18/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z