Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

380
WTPZ21 KNHC 171437
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026
1500 UTC SAT OCT 17 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 103.9W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....135NE 120SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 103.9W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 103.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.7N 104.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.1N 105.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.1N 106.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.7N 107.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.9N 107.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.9N 108.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 21.7N 109.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 103.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 17/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z