Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

264
WTPZ21 KNHC 170839
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026
0900 UTC SAT OCT 17 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 103.4W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 103.4W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 103.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.1N 104.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.6N 105.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.7N 106.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.5N 106.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 20.7N 107.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.9N 108.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 21.1N 109.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 103.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 17/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z