Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

152
WTPZ21 KNHC 162040
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026
2100 UTC FRI OCT 16 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 102.5W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 102.5W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 102.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.5N 103.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.9N 104.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.5N 105.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.7N 105.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.5N 106.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 20.9N 107.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 21.5N 108.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 22.1N 109.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 102.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 17/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z