Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
209 WTPZ35 KNHC 160839 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Simon Advisory Number 36 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202026 200 AM MST Fri Oct 16 2026 ...SIMON CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO... SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 108.8W ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM W OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Baja California Sur should continue to monitor Simon. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Simon was located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 108.8 West. Simon is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is expected to prevail through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected, and Simon is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low in a day or so. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: Through early Saturday, Simon is expected to produce rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches over portions of the state of Baja California Sur. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf. SURF: Swells generated by Simon could affect portions of the coast of west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.