Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

366
WTPZ35 KNHC 160238
TCPEP5
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Simon Advisory Number  35
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026
800 PM MST Thu Oct 15 2026
 
...SMALL SIMON WEAKENING OFFSHORE OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A DAY OR SO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...19.5N 108.5W
ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in Baja California Sur should continue to monitor Simon.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Simon was 
located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 108.5 West. Simon is 
moving toward the northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A faster 
northwestward motion is forecast to begin by Friday and continue 
through the weekend.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected, and Simon is 
forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low in a day or so.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
RAINFALL: Through early Saturday, Simon is expected to produce
rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 3
inches over portions of the state of Baja California Sur.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Simon could affect portions of the coast
of west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur during the next day
or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.