Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
240 WTPZ31 KNHC 151739 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Trudy Intermediate Advisory Number 9A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212026 1200 PM CST Thu Oct 15 2026 ...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING TRUDY... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.4N 101.6W ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo southward to Zihuatanejo, Mexico. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in southwestern and west-central Mexico should continue monitor the progress of Trudy. Additional watches will likely be required later today for portions of these areas. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM CST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Trudy was located by Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 101.6 West. Trudy is moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A continued motion toward the north-northwest is expected during the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the northwest this weekend. On the forecast track, Trudy is expected to approach the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico this weekend. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast over the next day or so, and Trudy is forecast to become a major hurricane by Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by early Saturday. RAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8 inches with isolated higher totals around 12 inches through the weekend across Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain. Elsewhere, Trudy’s outer bands are expected to produce 2 to 4 inch with isolated higher totals around 6 inches along the southwest Mexican coast between Guerrero and Michoacán. This rainfall may result in localized flash flooding through the weekend, especially in areas along steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Trudy, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf. SURF: Swells generated by Trudy are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico over the next day or so and continue through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.