Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

720
WTPZ25 KNHC 151442
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
1500 UTC THU OCT 15 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 108.1W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 108.1W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.5N 108.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.2N 108.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.1N 110.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.9N 111.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.9N 112.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 24.0N 113.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 26.8N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 108.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z