Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
336 WTPZ35 KNHC 150839 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Simon Advisory Number 32 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202026 200 AM MST Thu Oct 15 2026 ...SIMON NEARLY STATIONARY... ...INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM... SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.2N 108.5W ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Baja California Sur should continue to monitor Simon. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Simon was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 108.5 West. Simon is nearly stationary and is likely to move slowly and erratically through tonight. A northwestward motion is forecast to begin by Friday and continue through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days, and Simon is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low by late this weekend. Simon is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: Through early Saturday, Simon is expected to produce rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches over portions of the state of Baja California Sur. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf. SURF: Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast of west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.