Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
314 WTPZ31 KNHC 150837 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Trudy Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212026 300 AM CST Thu Oct 15 2026 ...TRUDY FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND APPROACH THE COAST OF MEXICO AS A MAJOR HURRICANE THIS WEEKEND... ...INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR ITS PROGRESS... SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.9N 101.6W ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in southwestern and west-central Mexico should monitor the progress of Trudy. Watches will likely be required later this morning for portions of these areas. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Trudy was located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 101.6 West. Trudy is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn to the north-northwest is expected during the next day or two, followed by a turn back toward the northwest this weekend. On the forecast track, Trudy is expected to approach the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico this weekend. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Trudy is expected to become a major hurricane on Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8 inches with isolated higher totals around 12 inches through the weekend across Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain. Elsewhere, Trudy’s outer bands are expected to produce 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher totals around 6 inches along the southwest coast of Mexico between Guerrero and Michoacan. This rainfall may result in localized flash flooding through the weekend, especially in areas along steep terrain. SURF: Swells generated by Trudy are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico over the next day or so and continue through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST.