Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

307
WTPZ21 KNHC 150836
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026
0900 UTC THU OCT 15 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 101.6W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  60SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 101.6W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 101.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.4N 101.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.2N 102.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.1N 102.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.1N 103.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.4N 104.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.8N 105.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 20.5N 107.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 20.7N 108.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 101.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z