Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

436
WTPZ21 KNHC 150233
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026
0300 UTC THU OCT 15 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 100.8W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  40SE  20SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  45SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 100.8W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 100.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 12.9N 101.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 13.6N 101.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.5N 102.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.3N 102.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.4N 103.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.6N 104.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 19.7N 106.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 20.1N 107.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 100.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z