Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

419
WTPZ35 KNHC 150231
TCPEP5
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Simon Advisory Number  31
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026
800 PM MST Wed Oct 14 2026
 
...COMPACT SIMON WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
CYCLONE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 108.6W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 220 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in Baja California Sur should continue to monitor Simon.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Simon was 
located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 108.6 West. Simon is 
moving toward the southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). The storm is likely 
to move slowly and erratically through Thursday night. A motion 
toward the north or northwest is forecast to begin by Friday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through 
early Thursday, followed by gradual weakening.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
RAINFALL: Through early Saturday, Simon is expected to produce
rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 3
inches over portions of the state of Baja California Sur.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast of
west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur during the next few
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.