Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
311 WTPZ35 KNHC 142054 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Hurricane Simon Advisory Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202026 200 PM MST Wed Oct 14 2026 ...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT SIMON HAS WEAKENED FURTHER... ...INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE CYCLONE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.3N 108.3W ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Baja California Sur should continue to monitor Simon. Watches or warnings may be required for portions of Baja California Sur over the next day or two. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Simon was located near latitude 19.3 North, longitude 108.3 West. Simon is moving toward the southwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). The hurricane is likely to move slowly and erratically through Thursday night. A motion toward the north or north-northwest is forecast to begin by Friday. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to at least 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Some intensity fluctuations are possible through Thursday night, followed by weakening on Friday and into the weekend. Simon is a very small hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km). The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: Through early Saturday, Simon is expected to produce rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches over portions of the state of Baja California Sur. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf. SURF: Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast of west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.