Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

306
WTPZ25 KNHC 142053
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
2100 UTC WED OCT 14 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 108.3W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE  30SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 108.3W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 108.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.2N 108.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.1N 108.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.5N 108.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.3N 109.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.8N 111.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 24.9N 113.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 26.7N 114.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 108.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z