Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

143
WTPZ21 KNHC 142044
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026
2100 UTC WED OCT 14 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 100.0W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  30SE  10SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 100.0W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  99.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 12.5N 100.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.2N 101.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.0N 101.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.9N 102.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.8N 102.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.9N 103.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 18.8N 105.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 19.4N 107.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 100.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z