Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

933
WTPZ21 KNHC 141455
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026
1500 UTC WED OCT 14 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  99.5W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  30SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  99.5W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  99.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 12.1N 100.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 12.9N 101.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 13.7N 101.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.6N 102.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.5N 102.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.5N 103.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 18.4N 105.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 19.9N 106.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N  99.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z