Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
855 WTPZ35 KNHC 141447 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Hurricane Simon Advisory Number 29 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202026 800 AM MST Wed Oct 14 2026 ...SIMON WEAKENS WHILE DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD... ...INTERESTS IN WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.7N 108.1W ABOUT 165 MI...260 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Watch for Las Islas Marias. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in west-central Mexico and in Baja California Sur should continue to monitor Simon. Watches or warnings may be required for portions of Baja California Sur over the next day or two. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Simon was located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 108.1 West. Simon is moving toward the southwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). The hurricane is likely to move slowly and erratically during the next day or two. A turn toward the north or north-northwest is forecast to occur by Friday. Maximum sustained winds are now near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some intensity fluctuations are possible through Thursday night, followed by weakening on Friday and into the weekend. Simon is a very small hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: Through early Saturday, Simon is expected to produce rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches over portions of the state of Baja California Sur. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf. SURF: Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast of west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.