Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

315
WTPZ21 KNHC 140338 CCA
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026
0300 UTC WED OCT 14 2026

CORRECTED FOR INITIAL WIND GUSTS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  97.0W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  97.0W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  96.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 11.8N  98.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  10SE  10SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 12.6N 100.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 13.5N 100.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.3N 101.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.2N 101.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.3N 102.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 55NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 19.0N 104.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 95NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 21.0N 106.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N  97.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z