Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
884 WTPZ35 KNHC 140235 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Hurricane Simon Advisory Number 27 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202026 800 PM MST Tue Oct 13 2026 ...SMALL SIMON STRENGTHENS OFF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO.. ...INTERESTS THERE AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 107.6W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SW OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Las Islas Marias A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests in west-central Mexico and in Baja California Sur should continue to monitor as new watches and warnings may be issued over the next day or two. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Simon was located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 107.6 West. Simon is drifting toward the west near 2 mph (4 km/h). The hurricane is forecast to move very slowly and erratically over the next couple of days. An eventual turn to the north or north-northwest is forecast to occur late this week. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible overnight, and Simon could become a major hurricane again. Gradual weakening is forecast beginning Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area for Las Islas Marias on Thursday. RAINFALL: Simon is expected to produce rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches over portions of the states of Baja California Sur, Nayarit, and Sinaloa. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf. SURF: Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast of west-central Mexico and Baja California Sur during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1100 PM MST. Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.