Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

873
WTPZ25 KNHC 140234
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
0300 UTC WED OCT 14 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 107.6W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 107.6W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 107.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.1N 107.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.6N 108.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.9N 108.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.7N 108.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW   5NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.3N 108.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 24.1N 109.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 27.2N 110.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 107.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 14/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z