Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

611
WTPZ25 KNHC 132056
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
2100 UTC TUE OCT 13 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 107.5W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 107.5W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 107.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.0N 107.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.8N 108.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   5SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT...  5NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 15NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.8N 107.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW   5NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.0N 107.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   5NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.6N 108.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 24.4N 110.2W...CLOSE TO BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.8N 111.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 107.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 14/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z