Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

191
WTPZ21 KNHC 132036
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026
2100 UTC TUE OCT 13 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  96.5W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  96.5W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N  95.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 11.3N  97.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 12.0N  99.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 12.7N 100.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.5N 100.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.3N 101.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.3N 101.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 17.1N 103.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 19.1N 105.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N  96.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z