Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

572
WTPZ25 KNHC 131450
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
1500 UTC TUE OCT 13 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 107.3W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 107.3W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 107.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 20.3N 107.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.3N 107.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   5NW.
50 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.1N 107.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   5NW.
50 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.1N 107.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW   5NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 21.0N 107.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.8N 108.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 25.2N 109.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 28.5N 110.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 107.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 13/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z