Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

565
WTPZ21 KNHC 131449
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026
1500 UTC TUE OCT 13 2026
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N  96.5W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N  96.5W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.5N  96.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 10.5N  97.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 11.3N  99.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 12.0N 100.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 12.8N 101.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 13.7N 101.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.5N 102.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 16.5N 103.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 18.6N 105.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.8N  96.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z