Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

896
WTPZ25 KNHC 112052
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
2100 UTC SUN OCT 11 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 105.8W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  90SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 105.8W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 105.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 20.2N 106.1W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 21.0N 106.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   5NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 21.6N 106.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   5NW.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 22.2N 107.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   5NW.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 22.8N 107.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   5NW.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 23.4N 106.6W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   5NW.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 24.0N 105.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 105.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 12/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z