Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
435 WTPZ33 KNHC 111140 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Rachel Intermediate Advisory Number 57A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 500 AM PDT Sun Oct 11 2026 ...RACHEL CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.9N 115.4W ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM N OF PUNTA BAJA MEXICO ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM NE OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the west coast of Baja California and Baja California Sur, from Punta Eugenia northward to the U.S./Mexico Border, and the Tropical Storm Watch for the east coast of Baja California, from Bahia De Los Angeles northward to Isla San Luis and northwest Mexico from Puerto Libertad to Puerto Penasco. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East coast of Baja California, from Isla San Luis northward to Puerto Penasco A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM PDT (1200 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Rachel was located near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 115.4 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 25 mph (41 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today as Rachel moves farther inland over the southwest United States. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Rachel should continue to weaken and dissipate later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occuring over portions of the Baja California Peninsula within the Tropical Storm Warning area, and these conditions will continue for the next few hours. Strong gusty winds associated with the system are spreading over interior portions of the southwestern United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, today and tomorrow. RAINFALL: Rachel will bring 1 to 2 inches of rain to portions of northern Baja California this weekend. Rachel and its associated moisture will also bring rainfall of 1 to 3 inches, with maximum amounts locally up to 5 inches from Southern California into the Great Basin and portions of the southwestern United States this weekend. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and potential for significant flash and urban flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?ero. SURF: Waves generated by Rachel will continue along the coasts of Southern California and northern Baja California today. These waves, combined with an incoming long-period southerly swell, will cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Coastal flooding and erosion are expected to worsen this morning as the highest waves coincide with the high tides and water levels that are already running well above predicted levels. Moderate to major coastal flooding is expected, with hazardous coastal conditions continuing into early next week. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.