Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

831
WTPZ25 KNHC 092045
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
2100 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 104.7W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 104.7W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.6N 104.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.5N 105.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.6N 105.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.0N 105.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.4N 105.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.8N 105.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 24.6N 106.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 104.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 10/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z