Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

120
WTPZ25 KNHC 091446
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
1500 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.7W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.7W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 104.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.5N 104.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.2N 104.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.2N 105.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.4N 105.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.7N 105.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.9N 105.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 23.6N 106.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 24.9N 106.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 104.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 09/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z